• The fourth quarter of 2023 was one of the best on record for fixed income markets since 2008, fuelled by dovish signals from the US Federal Reserve and signs that inflation is declining. 
  • In credit, yields remain attractive but spreads remain narrow. We continue to hold a bias towards higher-quality credit and await a better entry point to add lower-quality credit risk.
  • We expect interest rates to decline later this year but ultimately settle at higher levels than in recent memory – providing investors with durable yields with the potential for additional price appreciation, in our view. 
     

Vanguard’s experts provide their latest sector-by-sector analysis of global fixed income markets and a summary of how these trends affect Vanguard’s active bond funds.

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Active fixed income at Vanguard

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Investment risk information

The value of investments, and the income from them, may fall or rise and investors may get back less than they invested.

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

Some funds invest in emerging markets which can be more volatile than more established markets. As a result the value of your investment may rise or fall.

Funds investing in fixed interest securities carry the risk of default on repayment and erosion of the capital value of your investment and the level of income may fluctuate. Movements in interest rates are likely to affect the capital value of fixed interest securities. Corporate bonds may provide higher yields but as such may carry greater credit risk increasing the risk of default on repayment and erosion of the capital value of your investment. The level of income may fluctuate and movements in interest rates are likely to affect the capital value of bonds.

Any projections should be regarded as hypothetical in nature and do not reflect or guarantee future results.

Reference in this document to specific securities should not be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell these securities, but is included for the purposes of illustration only.

Important information

For professional investors only (as defined under the MiFID II Directive) investing for their own account (including management companies (fund of funds) and professional clients investing on behalf of their discretionary clients). In Switzerland for professional investors only. Not to be distributed to the public.

The information contained in this document is not to be regarded as an offer to buy or sell or the solicitation of any offer to buy or sell securities in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation is against the law, or to anyone to whom it is unlawful to make such an offer or solicitation, or if the person making the offer or solicitation is not qualified to do so.  The information in this document does not constitute legal, tax, or investment advice. You must not, therefore, rely on the content of this document when making any investment decisions.

The information contained in this document is for educational purposes only and is not a recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell investments.

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