Investigating fundamental shifts in the global economy

Vanguard’s “Megatrends” series investigates
fundamental shifts in the global economic landscape that are likely to affect the financial services industry and broader society.

AI, demographics and the US economy: Quantifying the coming tug of war

In our latest Megatrends research installment, our data-driven analysis looks at how AI and demographic shifts have the potential to define our economic future.

Megatrends

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Will AI transform the way we live?

In this video, we explore the potential impact of artificial intelligence on our day-to-day lives.

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Investing in the age of AI

In this podcast, Vanguard Global Chief Economist Joe Davis explores how artificial intelligence and other Megatrends are transforming the global economy - and what this means for investors.

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Introducing the Vanguard Megatrends Model

The Vanguard Megatrends Model, built on 130+ years of historical data, focuses on how these trends have impacted four key market drivers: long-term growth, inflation, interest rates and corporate earnings:

A uniquely long and rich dataset that captures historical shifts in Megatrends across the US and globally, which strengthens our conviction in spotting emerging trends.

A framework which identifies, analyses and quantifies how key structural forces may influence market dimensions while assigning probabilities to potential investment outcomes.

This analysis sharpens our perspective on our short to mid-term outlook, while reinforcing our long-term structural views and guiding our broader forecasting approach.

The stage at Vanguard Advance during Megatrends: Uncovering the truth beyond the noise